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QoG lunchseminarium med Felix Haass, vinnare av QoG Best Paper Award 2020

Samhälle & ekonomi

"The Effect of Wartime Legacies on Electoral Mobilization after Civil War"

10 nov 2021
12:00 - 13:00
Stora Skansen (rum B336), Sprängkullsgatan 19

Martin Ottmann, Peace and Conflict Studies, School of Government, University of Birmingham and Felix Haass, Department of Political Science, University of Oslo
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QoG-institutet arrangerar regelbundet seminarier på temat samhällsstyrningens kvalitet samt korruptionens orsaker och konsekvenser.

Alla seminarier hålls på engelska om inte annat annonseras.
The Quality of Government institute


Elections are cornerstones for societies transitioning from civil war to democracy. The success or failure of these elections is shaped by the strategies former belligerents employ to mobilize voters. Of those strategies, clientelism is particularly important as it represents improved voter-elite relations over dysfunctional wartime politics, but, if pervasive, also risks undermining long-term democratic consolidation. We argue that the organizational legacies of rebellion shape the way how rebels engage in electoral clientelism. We expect that former rebels target preelectoral benefits to areas of wartime support; rely on wartime military networks to deliver those benefits; and exploit discretionary control over peace dividends when allocating electoral benefits. We combine original geospatial data on the timing and location of over 2,000 tsunami aid projects with village-level surveys in post-civil war Aceh, Indonesia, to test these hypotheses. Results from difference in differences models and detailed tests of causal mechanisms are consistent with our theoretical expectations.