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The Consequences of Uncertainty: Climate Sensitivity and Economic Sensitivity to the Climate

Chapter in book
Authors John Hassler
Per Krusell
C. Olovsson
Published in Annual Review of Economics
Pages 189-205
ISBN 978-0-8243-4610-2
ISSN 1941-1383
Publication year 2018
Published at Department of Economics
Pages 189-205
Language en
Links dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economic...
Keywords climate change, integrated assessment model, uncertainty
Subject categories Economics

Abstract

We construct an integrated assessment model with multiple energy sources-two fossil fuels and green energy-and use it to evaluate ranges of plausible estimates for the climate sensitivity, as well as for the sensitivity of the economy to climate change. Rather than focusing explicitly on uncertainty, we look at extreme scenarios defined by the upper and lower limits given in available studies in the literature. We compare optimal policy with laissez faire, and we point out the possible policy errors that could arise. By far the largest policy error arises when the climate policy is overly passive; overly zealous climate policy (i.e., a high carbon tax applied when climate change and its negative impacts on the economy are very limited) does not hurt the economy much as there is considerable substitutability between fossil and nonfossil energy sources.

Page Manager: Webmaster|Last update: 9/11/2012
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