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Does Election Day Weather Affect Voter Turnout? Evidence from Swedish Elections.

Journal article
Authors Mikael J Persson
Anders Sundell
Richard Öhrvall
Published in Electoral Studies
Volume 33
Pages 335-342
ISSN 0261-3794
Publication year 2014
Published at Department of Political Science
Pages 335-342
Language en
Links dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2013...
Keywords Voter turnout; Political behavior; Electoral system
Subject categories Political Science

Abstract

Does rainfall during the Election Day reduce voter turnout? Previous research shows that in the US one inch of rain reduces turnout with about one percentage point.We turn to the Swedish context in order to test whether rainfall on Election Day have the same impact in a high turnout context. We move beyond previous research by testing the impact of GISinterpolated rainfall on three different datasets that allows us to view the issue both from a wide time frame as well as with high precision as for turnout measures: (a) aggregate turnout data for Sweden’s 290 municipalities, (b) individual level data from the Swedish National Election Study and (c) data from a register-based survey on voter turnout. In none of the three datasets do we find robust negative effects of rain.

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