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Economic voting in Sweden 1985-2010

Journal article
Authors Johan Martinsson
Published in Electoral Studies
Volume 32
Issue 3
Pages 470-475
ISSN 0261-3794
Publication year 2013
Published at Department of Political Science
Pages 470-475
Language en
Links dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2013...
Keywords Economic voting, Sweden
Subject categories Political Science

Abstract

Despite the fact that Sweden has the world's second longest time-series of national election Studies, the standard model of micro-level economic voting has only been occasionally applied in Sweden. This study presents a long-term perspective on economic voting in Sweden and analyzes to what extent economic perceptions influence governmental support in general elections in Sweden at the eight latest parliamentary elections, 1985-2010. To this end, this article makes use of the rolling two-wave panels of the Swedish national election studies and estimates the probability of voting for the government depending on economic perceptions, previous vote, ideology and a set of SES controls. The results show that Swedish voting behaviour is no exception to that of most western democracies; subjective economic evaluations of the Swedish economy systematically influence government support. If voters feel the economy is improving they are more likely to vote for the incumbent government than when they feel the economy is getting worse. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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