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Natural Disasters and Government Turnover

Authors Pelle Ahlerup
ISSN 1403-2465
Publisher University of Gothenburg
Place of publication Göteborg
Publication year 2013
Published at Gothenburg Centre for Globalization and Development (GCGD)
Department of Economics
Language en
Keywords natural disasters, elections
Subject categories Economics


Natural disasters have been linked to both violent conflict and, in some settings, poor economic growth, but do they also drive government parties out of office? We study government turnover in a global sample of more than 200 elections to the executive. Natural disasters are associated with more frequent turnover, but not in highly democratic countries. The effect of geophysical disasters is especially strong, and even stronger when endogeneity is addressed.

Page Manager: Webmaster|Last update: 9/11/2012

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