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The dynamics of the winner-loser gap in satisfaction with democracy: Evidence from a Swedish citizen panel

Journal article
Authors Stefan Dahlberg
J. Linde
Published in International Political Science Review
Volume 38
Issue 5
Pages 625-641
ISSN 0192-5121
Publication year 2017
Published at Quality of Government Institute (QoG)
Department of Political Science
Pages 625-641
Language en
Links doi.org/10.1177/0192512116649279
Keywords Winner-loser gap, satisfaction with democracy, political support, panel data, elections, Sweden, political-institutions, election, trust
Subject categories Political Science

Abstract

Several studies have demonstrated a gap in support for the political system between electoral winners and losers. This research has generated a large stock of knowledge about the causes and effects of this winner-loser gap. However, we know little about the dynamics of the winner-loser gap over time. Drawing on a unique Swedish panel survey, this study investigates the stability of the winner-loser gap among Swedish voters over an electoral cycle of four years. The empirical analyses demonstrate a substantial consistency of the gap over time also when controlling for other determinants. The winner-loser gap thus seems to be a stable phenomenon rather than a short-lived election effect. The results are robust to different specifications and statistical techniques.

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