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The Stability of the Winner-Loser Gap in Political Support: Evidence from a Swedish citizen panel.

Journal article
Authors Stefan Dahlberg
Jonas Linde
Published in International Political Science Review
ISSN 0192-5121
Publication year 2016
Published at Quality of Government Institute (QoG)
Department of Political Science
Language en
Keywords Winner-loser gap, Satisfaction with democracy, Political support, Panel data, Elections, Sweden
Subject categories Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalization Studies)

Abstract

Several studies have demonstrated a gap in support for the political system between electoral winners and losers. This research has generated a large stock of knowledge about the causes and effects of this winner-loser gap. However, we know little about the dynamics of the winner-loser gap over time. Drawing on a unique Swedish panel survey this study investigates the stability of the winner-loser gap among Swedish voters over an electoral cycle of four years. The empirical analyses demonstrate a substantial consistency of the gap over time also when controlling for other determinants. The winner-loser gap thus seems to be a stable phenomenon rather than a short-lived election effect. The results are robust to different specifications and statistical techniques.

Page Manager: Webmaster|Last update: 9/11/2012
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